Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Botswana is covid regional hotspot

If you are worried about catching Covid-19, then Botswana is the last place you should be considering as a safe sanctuary, at least for now.

The risk of being infected with the deadly virus is currently highest in Botswana compared to all other countries in the Southern African region.

Data from the Reuters Covid 19 Tracker has revealed that Botswana is currently the region’s infection hotspot with the infection rate as high as 378 per 100k people recorded in the past seven days. Botswana’s infection rate is classified as “at peak and rising.”

The second most dangerous country in the region in terms of covid-19 infections is Namibia which has recorded an infection rate of 334 per 100k people in the last seven days. Unlike Botswana, Namibia is at 68% of peak and falling.

South Africa is third at 201 per 100k infection rate in the past seven days. Zimbabwe comes up at fourth place with 112 per 100k infection rate. This means Batswana are more than three times more likely to be infected by covid than their Zimbabwean counterparts. Angola on the other hand is currently the safest country in the region with two infections per 100k. The figure suggests that Batswana are more than 100 times more likely to catch the virus than Angolans.

While Botswana’s infection rate is currently on steroids, the country’s covid 19 vaccine rollout speed has been slowing down markedly over the past three weeks.

Three weeks ago, Botswana averaged about 5,229 doses administered each day. At that rate, it was projected that it would take a further 89 days for Botswana to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population. The country’s infection rate was also on the decline, with 184new infections reported on average each day. That was 25% of the peak — the highest daily average at the time was reported on June 15 at slightly under 800.

Two weeks ago, Botswana’s vaccine programme slowed down to an average of about 2,995 doses administered each day. At that rate it was projected that it was going to take Botswana a further 154 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

Last week the vaccine programme slowed down even further to 2,410 doses administered each day. This is less than half the average number of daily doses the country administered three weeks ago. At this rate, it is projected that it will take a further 192 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population. Meanwhile the infection rate has gained speed. While three weeks ago, Botswana recorded a daily average infection rate of 184, the number has gone up to 1,244 new infections reported each day which is an increase of more than 500% in three weeks. This means Batswana are seven time more likely to catch the coronavirus now compared to three weeks ago.

Botswana which three weeks ago had the most progressive vaccination programme in the region, fell to second place after South Africa two weeks ago and is now currently at third place after Zimbabwe.

While Botswana’s vaccination programme has been losing speed over the past three weeks, South Africa on the other hand has been gaining momentum.

South Africa two weeks ago administered an average of 97,909 doses each day. At that rate it was projected that it was going to take a further 120 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

This is an improvement from the previous week’s rollout speed during which the country averaged about 81,059 doses administered each day. At that rate, it would take a further 145 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

Last week South Africa averaged about 130,377 doses administered each day. At this rate, it will take a further 90 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

Zimbabwe has also improved on its roll out speed of two weeks ago which was about 13,858 doses administered each day. At that rate, it was projected that it was going to take a further 212 days for the country to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population. Zimbabwe however speeded up its vaccination programme last week averaging about 17,817 doses administered each day. At that rate, it will take a further 165 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

On the brighter side, Botswana is however still the regional leader on per capita vaccination. The country has so far administered 284,676 doses of Covid vaccines. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated 6.2% of the population. Zimbabwe which is second has administered at least 1,575,539 doses of covid vaccine so far. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 5.4% of the country’s population.

South Africa on the other hand has administered at least 4,535,222 doses of covid vaccines so far. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 3,9% of the country’s population.

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